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Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Market Watch 1.14.09

Mortgage Bonds improved and Stocks lost more ground today on the awful Retail Sales news. Sales plunged by 2.7%, far worse than expected. Even worse, when you strip out autos, the number declined 3.1% versus expectations of a 1.4% decline. Retail sales have now fallen for six months in a row.

In the banking sector, Deutsche Bank, which is Germany's largest bank, warned of a fourth-quarter loss of $6.3 Billion, and Chase announced they are pulling out of their broker wholesale lending. This has added to the selling pressure on Stocks.

The Fed's Beige Book will be released this afternoon at 2 pm and could influence the markets, so stay tuned. For right now, I recommend floating to see if prices can revisit resistance at the all-time price highs, about 40 basis points above present levels.

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